Egzanp pa-a-pa: distribision Bond
$140 lor ot, $50 lor pari lor sis nimero 13–18, $10 lor zero: $200 par tour, 25 nimero kouver. Distribision James Bond pandan ven tour.
Enn sesion simile lor 20 tour avek distribision ki zot vann koum stratezi James Bond. Douz gin $80, trwa kout lor sis nimero pou $100, enn zero pou $160, ek kat pert $200 lor 1–12. Net +$620, zame plis ki $40 dan pert. Distribision-la kouver apepre de tier rou-la. Kan enn nimero ki pa kouver sorti, tou miz $200 ale.
Plan-la
Lor enn latab eropeen: $140 lor 19–36, $50 lor pari lor sis nimeropariPari lor sis nimeroSis nimero dan de ranze kot-a-kot, peye 5:1. An franse: sixain.Lir tou → 13–18, $10 lor zerorouZeroSel kaz ver ki okenn pari peman egal, douzenn ouswa kolonn pa kouver; sours lavantaz kazino. Osi: enn sel zero, 0.Lir tou →. Vennsink nimero kouver. Enn nimero ot pey $140 ek perdi $60: +$80. Enn nimero dan sis nimero-la pey $250 ek perdi $150: +$100. Zero pey $350 ek perdi $190: +$160. Nimporte ki nimero 1–12 perdi tou: −$200. Valer atandimatematikValer atandiRezilta mwayen par pari lor enn long dire. −1/37 miz-la pou sak pari eropeen standar.Lir tou → par tour se (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, setadir 2.70% $200. Distribision-la se enn miz fix degize.
Tour 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Sis ot, enn sis nimero, enn zero, de pert: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Balans +$340 apre dis tour, avek de tour perdan ki sakenn inn pran $200. Zero o tour 6 inn pey $160, sel fwa ki enn zero inn paret kouma enn kamarad.
Tour 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. De pert dan sis premie tour inn ramenn balans-la a +$280; apre trwa ot ek enn sis nimero inn ferm sesion-la a +$620. Ven tour: 12 ot, 3 kout lor sis nimero, 1 zero, 4 pert. Net atandi ti −$108; vre rezilta +$620, apepre 1.2 ekar-tipmatematikEkar-tipRasinn kare varyans; distans tipik ant enn rezilta ek valer atandi.Lir tou → lao lesperans, enn bon lasware.
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- medyann −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
Bann kont
Total parye $4,000 dan ven tour. Pert atandimatematikPert atandiValer atandi miltiplie par total larzan ki ou parye; montan mwayen ki ou perdi lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod.Lir tou → $108. Ekar-tip enn sel tour apepre $135, alor ven tour ena enn ekar-tip apepre $605; +$620 ouswa plis se enn lasware enn lor nef. Mem ven tour avek $200 fix lor rouzpariRouzPari peman egal lor 18 nimero rouz. An franse: rouge.Lir tou → ti pou ena mem lesperans ek enn distribision pli larz (σ ≈ $200 par tour): distribision-la ena enn varyansmatematikVaryansEnn mezir lor kouma bann rezilta dispers otour valer atandi. For pou pari lor enn sel nimero, ba pou pari peman egal.Lir tou → pli ba ki enn pari peman egalpariPari peman egalRouz/nwar, inper/per, ot/ba. 18 nimero, peye 1:1.Lir tou → akoz li gagne pli souvan ek pli tipti.
Seki sesion-la montre
Distribision Bond se trwa pari ki zot lesperans aditione donn −1/37 total-la, kouma tou konbinezon pari standar. So vre propriete se kouvertir: enn to gin 67.6% fer enn lasware paret kouma enn sistem. Sa 32.4% tour ki perdi pran $200 sakenn, ek lor enn long dire zot pran egzakteman seki kalkil-la dir. Malgre so nom, li pa dan bann roman Fleming: so Bond parye lor de douzennpariDouzenn1–12, 13–24 ouswa 25–36, peye 2:1.Lir tou →. Bann ti liv stratezi inn fer res-la.
Kestion
Pari lor ot se enn pari peman egal, alor lor enn latab franse li perdi zis $70 lor zero olie $140, ek enn zero donn +$230 net olie +$160. Lavantaz melanze apepre 1.8%. Pli bon, me touzour negatif.
Bann proporsion-la egaliz bann gin apepre: $80, $100, $160. Nimporte ki proporsion donn mem lavantaz.
Wi. Ou met $200 lor mem 25 nimero sak tour. Ni montan-la ni swa nimero-la sanze apre enn gin ouswa enn pert.
Enpe riye
De tier rou-la. Enn tier di tan, tou ale.
Sours
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.