Stratezi · Progresion negativ · 9 min

Stratezi roulet Martingale

Stratezi Martingale pou roulet doub pari-la apre sak pert e retourn lor pari de baz apre enn gin. Sak gin rekipere tou pert presedan plis enn inite de baz. Paz anba-la montre seki sa fer ar enn kapital zwe, ek kifer li pa kapav sanz pert atandi.

Repons kourtLi pa bat rou-la. Kouma enn stratezi doub miz pou roulet, Martingale donn boukou ti gin ek detanzantan gro pert. Lor nimport ki nonb tour, pert atandi res 2.70% montan total parye, e akoz progresion-la parye boukou, pert atandi par sesion pli gran ki avek miz fix, pa pli tipti.

Kouma sistem Martingale roulet marse?

Perdi, ek doube. Gagne, ek retourn lor pari de baz. Sa mem tou sistem-la. Avek enn pari de baz $10 ek enn limit latab $500, sekans-la fini apre sis pert. Dernie kolonn-la se probabilite ariv lor sa letap-la lor enn pari peman egal, kot sak pert ena enn probabilite 19/37.

pert #prosenn paritotal riskep(ariv la)

0$10$10100.00%

1$20$3051.35%

2$40$7026.37%

3$80$15013.54%

4$160$3106.95%

5$320$6303.57%

6$640$1,2701.83%

7$1,280$2,5500.94%

Pari de baz $10, limit latab $500. Apre sis pert, prosenn pari se $640, plis ki limit-la: progresion-la kase avek $630 perdi. Sans pou ena sis pert youn deryer lot lor rouz se (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, apepre enn fwa sak 55 lesey.

Swiv sistem-la

Enn pert doub miz-la. Enn gin retourn o komansman.

miz swivan1rezilta ziska ler0tour0

Miz ek rezilta an inite miz de baz.

Kouma enn sesion paret?

Ti pa monte, apre enn trap. Dan enn Martingale roulet, sak seri doubleman ki fini azout enn pari de baz, alor lign-la monte regilieman. Seri ki tap limit $500 repran $630 dan enn sel kou: 63 sa bann pa-la.

Dis sesion Martingale, baz $10, limit $500rezilta kont depar

1,000 sesion × 500 tour · vyolet p10/p25/p75/p90, ble kler medyann, 83 lesantiyon pal · pas lor grafik-la pou trouv bann kantil lor enn tour

p10 −$1,000
p25 −$1,000
medyann −$1,000
p75 +$930
p90 +$1,830

1,000 sesion × 500 tour · aks y koupe ant persantil 1–99 (ekstrem −$1,000 ziska +$2,640) · 500 tour · baz $10 · peman egal

Sak lign se enn sesion pari peman egal avek enn kapital zwe $1,000. Long monte, desant brisk.

Ti pa monte, apre enn trap ki repran tou dan enn sel kou.

Similater

Sak paramet lans 2,000 sesion pari peman egal avek enn kapital zwe $1,000. Rezilta-la sanze toutswit.

Miz de baz

Limit latab

Tour par sesion

Rezilta sesion · 2,000 sesion · 100 tour · baz $10 · limit $500pert ← | → profi

−$1,000$0+$650

pas lor enn bar · bar rouz se sesion ki perdi, ver ki gagne, bar pal-la lor $0

sesion an profi

40.8%

rezilta medyann

−$130

rezilta mwayenn

−$66.44

progresion kase

59.3% bann sesion

persantil 5

−$1,000

medyann pli gran bes kapital

−$650

Laplipar sesion fini enpe an avans (40.8%), samem ki atire. Mwayenn-la negatif (−$66.44) akoz bann sesion ki perdi, zot pert gran: progresion-la inn tap limit latab dan 59.3% bann sesion. Enn zwer ki parye fix $10 lor mem tour atann pou perdi apepre $27.

Konbien souvan enn seri pert vini

Enn pari peman egal lor enn rou enn sel zero perdi 19 tour lor 37. Sakenn ranze montre sans ki enn seri tour donn tou perdi, ek konbien enn zwer Martingale, ki doub apre sakenn pert, inn perdi ziska la.

Miz de baz

pert youn deryer lot	sans	apepre 1 lor	perdi ziska ler	pari swivan
1	51.4%	2	$1	$2
2	26.4%	4	$3	$4
3	13.5%	7	$7	$8
4	7.0%	14	$15	$16
5	3.6%	28	$31	$32
6	1.8%	55	$63	$64
7	0.94%	106	$127	$128
8	0.48%	207	$255	$256
9	0.25%	403	$511	$512
10	0.13%	784	$1,023	$1,024
11	0.065%	1527	$2,047	$2,048
12	0.034%	2974	$4,095	$4,096
13	0.017%	5792	$8,191	$8,192
14	0.0089%	11279	$16,383	$16,384
15	0.0046%	21965	$32,767	$32,768

Sans-la se 19/37 miltipliye par li-mem enn fwa par pert, konte depi enn tour donn. Enn long sesion ena boukou tour kot enn seri koumsa kapav koumanse, alor lor enn lasware li boukou pli probab ki seki enn ranze fer krwar.

Enn seri kinz pert arive apepre enn fwa lor 22,000 lesey. Sa paret sir. Li pa sir, pou de rezon. Sak tour koumans enn nouvo lesey, ek enn laswar ena plizir santenn tour. E personn pa ariv ziska kinz: avek enn baz $10, limit $500 aret doubleman-la apre sis pert, ki arive apepre enn fwa lor 55 lesey.

Kifer li pa kapav sanz bann kot?

Valer atandi adisionn. Si sak pari separe ena enn lesperans −2.70% so miz, alor nimport ki sekans pari, ninport kouma ou swazir miz-la, ena enn lesperans −2.70% total miz-la. Swa miz-la kapav depann lor rezilta pase; li pa kapav depann lor prosenn rezilta.

E[Σ bᵢ·Xᵢ] = Σ bᵢ·E[Xᵢ] = −(1/37)·Σ bᵢ
bᵢ swazir avan tour i; Xᵢ = ±1 independan ar bᵢ

Bann fos lide kouran

“Ou bizin gagn zis enn fwa pou rekipere tou.”

Vre dan enn progresion ki ariv ziska bout. Progresion ki pa ariv ziska bout, akoz limit latab ouswa ou kapital zwe, perdi tou sekans-la, e sa sekans-la gro par konsepsion.

“Avek enn kapital zwe ase gro, li pa kapav rate.”

Limit latab aret doubleman-la boukou avan laplipar kapital zwe. San limit, kapital zwe ki bizin grandi an eksponansiel pandan ki gin par sik res enn inite de baz.

“Sis pert youn deryer lot preske enposib.”

Lor rouz sa arive dan 1.83% bann fenet sis tour. Lor enn sesion 200 tour, dabitid ou pou trouv omwins enn seri sis.

Enpe riye

Boukou ti gin, enn gro pert rar. E se ou mem ki pey reklamasion-la.

Konklizion matematikSistem Martingale dan roulet sanz enn gran probabilite enn ti gin kont enn ti probabilite enn gro pert. Se enn lasirans vande lanvers: ou kolekte enn ti prim laplipar laswar e ou mem ou pey sa gro reklamasion rar-la. Li ogmant montan parye par sesion, alor li ogmant pert atandi par sesion. Li pa diminie e li pa kapav diminie lavantaz kazino. Si ou servi enn stratezi Martingale lor roulet kanmem, konn ou pwen kasir davans: avek enn baz $10 ek enn limit $500, sa se sis pert youn deryer lot, enn levenman 1.8% lor sak lesey. Get Zesion kapital zwe ek Limit pert / limit gin.