Egzanp pa-a-pa: enn monte Fibonacci
Miz 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 lor nwarpariNwarPari peman egal lor 18 nimero nwar. An franse: noir.Lir tou →, ek retourn de pa an aryer apre enn gin. Enn Martingale pli dousman, ek kouma so falez arive.
Enn sesion Fibonacci simile lor 90 tour, a $5 par inite. Ven sik fini avek $5 sakenn, enn move seri ziska nevyem term (miz $170) ki les sesion-la $340 dan pert. Pli dou ki doub miz, ziska ki li pa ankor dou.
Swiv laswit-la
Enn pert avans enn letap a drwat. Enn gin retourn de letap an arye.
Miz ek rezilta an inite miz de baz.
Plan-la
Met premie nimero FibonaccistrateziFibonacciProgresion ki swiv sekans 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: enn pa devan apre enn pert, de pa deryer apre enn gin.Lir tou → koum miz, $5. Apre enn pert, avans enn pa adrwat dan sekans-la. Apre enn gin, retourn de pa agos. Enn sik fini kan nou retourn o koumansman ek nou ena enn initelarzanIniteMiz baz ki enn sistem ouswa enn zwer servi. Bann progresion dekrir an inite pou ki zot aplik lor nenport ki latab.Lir tou → dan gin. Konpare ar MartingalestrateziMartingaleProgresion ki doub pari-la apre sak pert. Get seksion Stratezi pou kone seki li fer ek seki li pa fer.Lir tou →, miz-la grandi par ×1.6 olie ×2, alor falez-la pli lwin ek remonte-la pli lan: enn gin pa fini sik-la, li zis fer ou retourn an aryer.
Tour 1–40
Onz sik fini, pli long-la inn ariv ziska sinkyem term ($25). Sak sik ki fini donn egzakteman $5 net; kont-la agreab ek bann miz res tipti. Net +$55. Li donn linpresion enn Martingale san panik.
Tour 41–70
Sink lot sik fini avan tour 60 (+$25). Apre vinn sik ki pa fini. Perdi Perdi Perdi Perdi Perdi Perdi Perdi Gagne Perdi Perdi: miz 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (set pert, −$165), enn gin a $105 (+$105, retourn de pa ziska $40), apre de pert a $40 ek $65. Aster nou o wityem term, $105, avek −$165 dan sik-la, ek prosin pert ti pou avoy nou ziska $170 kont enn limit latablatabLimit latabPari minimom ek maksimom ki permet. Maksimom-la se seki aret bann progresion ki doub.Lir tou → $200. Net pou sa bout-la −$140.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- medyann −$500
- p75 +$390
- p90 +$480
Tour 71–90
Perdi Perdi: $105 ek apre $170 perdi, ek sik-la aster a −$440. Prosin miz ti pou $275, lao limit-la, alor o tour 72 nou abandonn sik-la ek rekoumans a $5. Sa mem falez-la. Dizwit tour ki res fini kat lot sik. Final −$340; pli ba nivo kapital zwelarzanKapital zweTotal larzan ki ou met de kote pou zwe. Zesion kapital zwe vedir deside komie ladan ou riske par pari ek par sesion.Lir tou → ti −$360.
Bann kont
Total parye apepre $1,200 kont $450 avek miz fix. Pert atandimatematikPert atandiValer atandi miltiplie par total larzan ki ou parye; montan mwayen ki ou perdi lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod.Lir tou → lor $1,200 se $32; vre rezilta −$340 apepre enn ek dimi ekar-tipmatematikEkar-tipRasinn kare varyans; distans tipik ant enn rezilta ek valer atandi.Lir tou → anba, enn move sesion, ek sa kalite sesion ki Fibonacci prodir preske enn fwa lor sink pou sa longer-la. Bann sik ki fini ti pey $5 sakenn; move sik-la inn kout karant-wit fwa sa.
Seki sesion-la montre
Fibonacci etal falez Martingale lor plizir tour ek pous li pli lwin, sa fer li an mem tan pli sir ek pli tronper: sekans miz-la paret rezonab ziska sa enn ki pa rezonab. Pert atandi par dolar pa sanze; total paryelarzanTotal paryeTotal larzan ki ou parye lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod, ek bann gin ki ou reparye ladan. Osi: handle, action.Lir tou → anplis ki remonte-la amenn, se la ki larzan ale.
Kestion
Akoz enn gin o term n rekipere pert o term n−1 ek n−2, ki so som egal li. Sekans-la fer pou sa regleman-la.
Miz maksimom pli ba pou mem nonb pert, alor wi, dan sans enn falez ki vinn pli tar. Lesperans-la parey egzakteman.
Douzyem-la, avek enn inite $5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, apre 720.
Enpe riye
Ratio dore se 1.618. Lavantaz kazino touzour 2.70%.
Sours
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.