Mit: enn stratezi roulet ki touzour gagne
“Mo ena enn sistem ki gagne 80% di tan.” Petet. Li kanmem perdi larzan.
Enn sistem kapav fer sesion ki gagne vinn kouran. Li pa kapav fer valer atandi vinn pozitif, akoz sak pari ki li fer vo −1/37 so miz ek bann valer atandi aditione. Bann sistem ki gagne pli souvan, se zot ki perdi plis kan zot perdi.
Seki dimounn dir
Kroyans-la: kikpar ena enn stratezi roulet ki touzour gagne, enn sistem miz ki sanze dapre rezilta pase ki transform roulet an enn zwe ki gagne. Prev ki dimounn donne: enn seri sesion ki gagne, enn video lor kouma gagn roulet sak fwa, enn temwagnaz, enn tablo lor enn semenn ki ti ena lasans. Souvan dimounn-la onet; li krwar ladan akoz sa inn pe marse.
Kifer li fos, an enn lign
Bann valer atandimatematikValer atandiRezilta mwayen par pari lor enn long dire. −1/37 miz-la pou sak pari eropeen standar.Lir tou → aditione. Si sak pari ena EV = −1/37 so miz, nenport ki sekans pari ena EV = −1/37 total ki finn mize, nenport ki regleman ki finn swazir bann miz. Enn sistem se enn regleman pou swazir miz. Alor sak sistem ena EV = −1/37 total paryelarzanTotal paryeTotal larzan ki ou parye lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod, ek bann gin ki ou reparye ladan. Osi: handle, action.Lir tou →. Sa enn teorem (Doob ek Halmos ti prouv li dan bann lane 1930; Thorp 1969 dir bann kondision), ek li pena eksepsion pou bann regleman malin. Sel kondision ki vo lapenn kone se enn miz minimom: egzanp Thorp parye $1,000 lor rouzpariRouzPari peman egal lor 18 nimero rouz. An franse: rouge.Lir tou →, apre 90 sou, apre 9 sou ek kontinie koumsa, pe vinn pli tipti pou touzour. Avek enn sans 18/37 premie pari-la gagne ek zwer-la res an avans pou touzour, me rezilta atandi touzour −1/37 tou seki finn mize. Minimom enn vre latab anpes sa, ek ansam ar li tou lespwar pou res an avans lor enn long dire.
Kifer li paret marse
Bann progresionstrateziProgresionNenport ki regleman ki sanz miz-la dapre bann rezilta avan. Progresion negatif ogmant li apre pert, pozitif apre gin.Lir tou → negatif fer sesion ki gagne vinn kouran. MartingalestrateziMartingaleProgresion ki doub pari-la apre sak pert. Get seksion Stratezi pou kone seki li fer ek seki li pa fer.Lir tou → depi $10 avek enn limit $500 fini apepre 80% bann sesion 100 tour avek enn de-trwa initelarzanIniteMiz baz ki enn sistem ouswa enn zwer servi. Bann progresion dekrir an inite pou ki zot aplik lor nenport ki latab.Lir tou → an avans. Enn zwer ki servi li pandan ven sesion gagne sez ladan ek li rapel sa. Sak kat sesion perdan perdi plis ki dis sesion gagnan raporte, ek kalkil lor ven sesion negatif. Sistem-la pa finn sanz mwayenn-la; li finn deplas bann pert dan mwins sesion, pli gro, kot li pli fasil pou apel sa malsans.
Test ki nenport ki kapav fer
Similater Stratezi lor sa sit-la lans 10,000 sesion nenport ki sistem, ouswa ou prop kod, dan enn segonn. Regle li lor sistem ki ou krwar ladan ek lir mwayenn-la. Si mwayenn-la ti pozitif pou okenn reglaz, sa paz-la ti pou dir li. Sak reglaz, sak sistem, sak limit latablatabLimit latabPari minimom ek maksimom ki permet. Maksimom-la se seki aret bann progresion ki doub.Lir tou → donn enn mwayenn −2.70% total parye plis lebrwi. Bann temwagnaz se lesantiyon enn sel dimounn; similater-la se lesantiyon dis mil.
Enn sistem ki pa kapav perdi
An 1997 lekrivin poker Mike Caro ti pibliy enn sistem roulet pou riye, ek Gambling Times ti repibliy li an 2001. Se enn lalis pari pou evite: zame rouz ouswa nwarpariNwarPari peman egal lor 18 nimero nwar. An franse: noir.Lir tou →, inper ouswa per, ouswa bann zerorouZeroSel kaz ver ki okenn pari peman egal, douzenn ouswa kolonn pa kouver; sours lavantaz kazino. Osi: enn sel zero, 0.Lir tou →; okenn nimero rouz inper ek okenn nimero nwar per; ek nanye lor 30, ouswa lor sa long seri kazekipmanKazEnn bann 37 konpartiman avek nimero lor rotor. Osi: slot, cup.Lir tou → depi 11 dan sans lezegwi ziska 14 lor rou amerikin. Met bann regleman ansam ek pena okenn nimero ki res. Sel kaz deor sa seri-la se 0, 28, 9, 26, 30 ek 2; 30 enterdi par so nom, ek res-la swa enn zero, swa per ek nwar, swa inper ek rouz. Enn zwer ki swiv sistem-la zame parye ek zame perdi. So lavantaz se zero, ek se sel sistem roulet ki onet lor fason ki li ariv la.
Sistem ki ena enn nom, enn lign sakenn
Bann sistem ki zot vann avek enn nom, ouswa koum enn formil pou gagn roulet, pa diferan. Sakenn se enn ansam pari, ek sak pari pey rou-la so 2.70%. Bollman (2024) etidie plizir lor enn rou amerikin, kot sakenn kout 5.26%; isi zot lor enn rou eropeen.
Versionn onet-la
Bann sistem sanz form enn sesion: komie fwa ou gagne, ki gro bann gin, ki move pir ka-la. Sa bann vre swa ek enn zwer kapav prefer enn form ki enn lot. Seki bann sistem pa sanze se pri-la, ki se 2.70% tou seki finn parye, ek akoz bann progresion parye plis ki miz fixstrateziMiz fixParye mem montan sak tour. Referans ki ou konpar sak progresion avek li.Lir tou →, zot pey plis ladan.
Kestion
Sis mwa sesion sak semenn fer apepre 25 sesion. Martingale gagne 80% ladan. Bann sesion perdan pe vini, ek zot pli gro.
Regleman arete-la diminie total parye ek alor diminie pert atandimatematikPert atandiValer atandi miltiplie par total larzan ki ou parye; montan mwayen ki ou perdi lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod.Lir tou →. Li pa fer li vinn pozitif.
Pa lor enn rou zis. Lor enn rou ki ena defolaboratwarRou ki ena defoEnn rou kot bann defo fizik fer serten kaz pli probab ki 1/37. Rar, ou kapav detekte li zis avek plizier milye tour ki finn note.Lir tou →, ki enn problem lafizik, pa enn sistem.
Lamizman ar matematik
Esey rezoud zot ou mem avan. Sakenn solision kase; ouver li kan ou pare.
Sistem pou riye Mike Caro an 1997 pou rou amerikin enpes rouzpariRouzPari peman egal lor 18 nimero rouz. An franse: rouge.Lir tou → ek nwarpariNwarPari peman egal lor 18 nimero nwar. An franse: noir.Lir tou →, inper ek per, ek bann zerorouZeroSel kaz ver ki okenn pari peman egal, douzenn ouswa kolonn pa kouver; sours lavantaz kazino. Osi: enn sel zero, 0.Lir tou →; bann nimero rouz inper ek bann nimero nwar per; nimero 30; ek sakenn kazekipmanKazEnn bann 37 konpartiman avek nimero lor rotor. Osi: slot, cup.Lir tou → dan sekter depi 11 dan sans lezegwi ziska 14. Aplik bann regleman enn par enn. Ki nimero reste pou parye?
Montre solision-la
Repons Okenn. Sistem-la zame parye, alor so lavantaz egzakteman zero.
Enpes rouz, nwar, inper, per ek bann zero les bann nimero tousel ek bann ti grup ant 1 ek 36.
Okenn rouz inper ek okenn nwar per les bann rouz per (12, 14, 16, 18, 30, 32, 34, 36) ek bann nwar inper (11, 13, 15, 17, 29, 31, 33, 35): sez nimero. Enpes 30 les kinz.
Lor rou amerikin sekter depi 11 dan sans lezegwi ziska 14 kouver 32 lor 38 kaz. Sis ki deor se 0, 28, 9, 26, 30 ek 2. Tou kinz ki reste andan sekter-la, alor dernie regleman-la tir zot osi. Enn sistem ki zame parye se sel ki zame perdi, ek samem ti pwen Caro.
Kryptos fer trwa MartingalestrateziMartingaleProgresion ki doub pari-la apre sak pert. Get seksion Stratezi pou kone seki li fer ek seki li pa fer.Lir tou → alafwa, enn lor sakenn per pari peman egalpariPari peman egalRouz/nwar, inper/per, ot/ba. 18 nimero, peye 1:1.Lir tou → (ot ouswa ba, inper ouswa per, rouz ouswa nwar), avek miz 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 ek enn aret apre sis pert. Pran enn lor trwa-la lor enn rou eropeen. Komie souvan li perdi tou sis pari, ki enn sik gagne an mwayenn, ek ki proporsion larzan parye sa reprezante?
Montre solision-la
Repons Li perdi tou sis apepre enn fwa lor 55 sik, 1.83% letan, ek sa kout 63 initelarzanIniteMiz baz ki enn sistem ouswa enn zwer servi. Bann progresion dekrir an inite pou ki zot aplik lor nenport ki latab.Lir tou →. An mwayenn enn sik perdi apepre 0.17 inite lor 6.42 inite parye: 2.70%, pri tou pari lor rou-la.
Enn pari perdi avek sans 19/37, zero inklir. Sis ennswit-lot: (19/37)⁶ = 0.0183, apepre 1 lor 55, ek lerla bann miz 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 = 63 inn ale. Sinon sik-la fini avek enn gin ek +1 inite.
Mwayenn: 1 × (1 − 0.0183) − 63 × 0.0183 = 1 − 64 × 0.0183 = −0.17 inite.
Larzan parye: premie pari touzour fer, deziem zis apre enn pert, ek lerla: 1 + 2 × (19/37) + 4 × (19/37)² + … + 32 × (19/37)⁵ = 6.42 inite. Ek −0.17/6.42 = −2.70%.
Sis tour ki note zis deside lor ki kote sakenn pari ete, ek rou-la pa kapav kone zot. Fer tou le trwa tripl larzan parye ek pert mwayenn avek li. Bollman (2024) fer kalkil sistem-la lor enn rou amerikin, kot sakenn perdi sis ennswit-lot 2.1% letan.
Enpe riye
Gagne souvan ek gagn larzan, se de nonb diferan.
Sours
- Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.”
- Thorp, E. O. The Mathematics of Gambling.
- Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.”
- Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.”
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette.
- Bollman, M. Basic Gambling Mathematics: The Numbers Behind the Neon, 2nd ed.