Egzanp pa-a-pa · Egzanp pa-a-pa · 7 min

Egzanp pa-a-pa: Oscar’s Grind

Enn inite an plis apre enn gin, mem miz apre enn pert, arete sik-la kan ou enn inite dan gin. Sistem pli lant ki ena, pandan san tour.

Repons kourt

Enn sesion Oscar’s Grind simile lor 100 tour a $10 par inite lor nwarpariNwarPari peman egal lor 18 nimero nwar. An franse: noir.Lir tou →. Wit sik inn ferme pou +$10 sakenn, enn ladan apre 41 tour, enn miz $50 ek enn bes kapital $230; nevyem-la ti ankor ouver a −$140 kan sesion-la inn fini. Net −$60. Ti varyans, pena falez, mem lavantaz.

inite
$10 lor nwar
regleman
+1 inite apre enn gin, mem miz apre enn pert
lobzektif sik
+1 inite
rezilta
−$60 lor 100 tour

Swiv sistem-la

Enn pert gard mem miz. Enn gin azout enn inite, me zame plis ki seki sik-la bizin pou ariv +1. Kan ariv +1 enn nouvo sik koumanse.

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miz swivan1sa sik-la0rezilta ziska ler0tour0

Miz ek rezilta an inite miz de baz.

Plan-la

Parye enn initelarzanIniteMiz baz ki enn sistem ouswa enn zwer servi. Bann progresion dekrir an inite pou ki zot aplik lor nenport ki latab.Lir tou →. Apre enn pert, parye mem montan ankor. Apre enn gin, ogmant enn inite, sof si sa ogmantasion-la fer sik-la depas +1 inite; dan sa ka-la parye zis seki bizin pou fini egzakteman a +1. Kan sik-la enn inite dan gin, rekoumans a enn inite. Miz-la mont zis lor bann gin, alor enn seri pert zame fer li gonfle; travay dir-la sorti dan bizin enn seri gin pou sorti dan enn trou ki ou inn fouye avek enn ti miz.

Probabilite bann seri dan roulet

Tour 1–30

Kat sik inn ferme. Pli long-la inn dir onz tour: Perdi Perdi Perdi (−$30 a $10), Gagne (−$20, miz a $20), Perdi Perdi (−$60), Gagne (−$40, miz a $30), Gagne (−$10; enn ogmantasion a $40 ti pou depase, alor miz $20), Perdi (−$30), Gagne (−$10), Gagne: sik a +$10, ferme. Net apre 30 tour +$40. Miz zame plis ki $30. Se sistem mwins pasionan lor sit-la, ek sa se enn konpliman.

siktourmiz maksimombes kapitalnet
13$20−$10+$10
211$30−$60+$10
35$20−$20+$10
411$30−$50+$10
apre 304 sik+$40

Tour 31–71

Long sik-la. Wit pert dan dis premie tour inn fouy −$50. Bann gin inn mont miz-la a $20, $30, $40, $50; bann pert avek sa bann miz-la inn fouy pli fon, ziska −$230 o tour 52. Depi la enn bon pasaz, onz gin dan sez tour avek miz $40–$50, inn fer li remonte, ek sik-la inn ferme o tour 71 pou +$10. Karant-enn tour, $230 an risk o pli move moman, enn inite gagne.

Sa sesion-la ek nef lot pareyrezilta kont depar
+$1,110$0−$1,000+$890−$5000125250375500tourrezilta
1,000 sesion × 500 tour · vyolet p10/p25/p75/p90, ble kler medyann, 83 lesantiyon pal · pas lor grafik-la pou trouv bann kantil lor enn tour
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • medyann −$1,000
  • p75 +$710
  • p90 +$880
1,000 sesion × 500 tour · aks y koupe ant persantil 1–99 (ekstrem −$1,000 ziska +$1,280) · 500 tour · baz $10 · peman egal
Plat pandan long moman, ti pa ki monte, detanzanta bann trou profon ki remonte dousman. Pant mwayenn-la se sa enn abitie-la.
Karant-enn tour ek $230 dan pert o pli move moman, pou fini enn inite dan gin.

Tour 72–100

Trwa lot sik inn ferme, enn abandone o tour 100 a −$140 avek enn miz $30. Final −$60: wit sik a +$10 ek enn sik ouver a −$140 (enn sik ouver se fason abitie ki enn sesion Oscar fini, akoz bann sik long).

Bann kont

Miz mwayenn apepre $22, total parye apepre $2,200 kont $1,000 avek miz fix. Pert atandimatematikPert atandiValer atandi miltiplie par total larzan ki ou parye; montan mwayen ki ou perdi lor enn sesion ouswa enn peryod.Lir tou → $59; vre rezilta −$60. Enn sesion ki tonbe lor so lesperans, ek Oscar’s Grind fer sa pli souvan ki lezot sistem akoz so varyansmatematikVaryansEnn mezir lor kouma bann rezilta dispers otour valer atandi. For pou pari lor enn sel nimero, ba pou pari peman egal.Lir tou → ba: miz-la grandi zis kan nou pe gagne, ek li zame doub.

Seki sesion-la montre

Oscar’s Grind se enn sistem ki enn kikenn ki ti fini konpran lezot inn fer. Li pena falez, miz-la reste modere, ek li prodwir long sekans ti gin. Pri-la se letan: bann sik kapav dir karant tour, ek profi enn inite o bout-la inn aste avek enn bes kapitallarzanBes kapitalDesant depi pik kapital zwe ziska enn pwen ba pli tar dan enn sesion. Bes kapital maksimom se pli gran desant koumsa.Lir tou → ven fwa so tay. Pert atandi par dolar parye se 2.70%, ek sa travay dir-la azout dolar.

Kestion

Kisannla ti Oscar?

Enn zwer craps ki Allan Wilson inn dekrir dan The Casino Gambler’s Guide (1965). Sistem-la pli vie ki nom-la.

Eski ti varyans enn bon zafer?

Sa vedir ou rezilta pou pre ar lesperans. Lesperans-la negatif. Ti varyans bon si ou anvi enn pri previzib pou enn lasware ek move si ou anvi enn sans pou enn gro gin.

Ki fini enn sik ki pa le ferme?

Ou kapital zwelarzanKapital zweTotal larzan ki ou met de kote pou zwe. Zesion kapital zwe vedir deside komie ladan ou riske par pari ek par sesion.Lir tou → ouswa ou pasians. Sistem-la pena okenn regleman pou arete; zwer-la bizin amenn so prop regleman.

Enpe riye

Fason pli lant pou perdi 2.70%. Osi pli kalm.

Fason pli lant pou perdi 2.70%. Osi pli kalm.

Sours

  1. Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide. Harper & Row, 1965.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sapit 13, roulet.
verifie 2026-09-28model: eropeen, enn sel zerometodolozi ↗sours ↗